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<DIV><FONT id=role_document color=#000000 size=3 face=Calibri>Rn'TK
wrote:</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT color=#000000 size=2 face=Arial>You didn't read my post
carefully. I wasn't talking about the Ten LOST Tribes, which are probably
lost forever, long intermarried with other nations. I was talking about
individuals from each of those tribes who lived in the SOUTHERN kingdom, the
kingdom of Yehuda, at the time the Bayis Rishon was destroyed, and who have
remained within the Jewish fold throughout the centuries. It is no more
improbable that a man from Naftali or Zevulun would today have thousands of male
descendants than it is improbable that a kohen alive three thousand years ago
would today have thousands of kohen descendants, ben achar ben. Every man
alive today is the descendant, ben achar ben, of a man who lived thousands of
years ago. (Maleness is always transmitted in the male line.)
As long as this man from Shevet X remained Jewish and remained within the
fold all those years ago, there is no reason he shouldn't today have many living
descendants among the Jewish people -- not far away in a distant land but right
here in Miami or New York or Tel Aviv.</DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT lang=0 color=#0000ff FAMILY="SANSSERIF" PTSIZE="10"><B>--Toby
Katz<BR>================</FONT><FONT lang=0 color=#000000 FAMILY="SANSSERIF"
PTSIZE="10"></B><BR><BR><FONT size=3 face=Calibri>CM
responds:</FONT></FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3 face=Calibri></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3 face=Calibri>No. I did digest the intent of your
post.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3 face=Calibri>Your counter argument from the existence today
of kohanim or in fact of any shevet</FONT><FONT size=3
face=Calibri></FONT> <FONT size=3 face=Calibri>(Naftali or Zevulon of your
post, or Levi, Binyamin or indeed Yehuda which demonstrably exist today) made
me search for the difference to our case. In turns out (if I now
understand the issue correctly) the problem is with an implicit assumption
(that I did not recognize) in my initial argument. </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3 face=Calibri></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3 face=Calibri>Your parenthetical (literally) argument, that
"<FONT size=2 face=Arial>Maleness is always transmitted in the male
line"</FONT> while a true fact genetically, is a red herring and totally
irrelevant to your (otherwise correct) argument. The implicit assumption that I
unknowingly made seems to be the reason for the falsity of my argument. I
implicitly assumed that you only have ONE child and NO MORE from which the
probabilities I asserted follow. This is usually not the case. Most people do in
fact have more than one child. This significantly changes the statistics
and is the reason your counter examples happen and which leaves me with an
incorrect line of reasoning in my previous post. Sorry.</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3 face=Calibri></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3 face=Calibri>Kol Tuv</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3 face=Calibri></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3 face=Calibri>Chaim Manaster</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT size=3
face=Calibri></FONT> </DIV></FONT></DIV></DIV></BODY></HTML>