On 4/18/07, <b class="gmail_sendername">Eli Turkel</b> <<a href="mailto:eliturkel@gmail.com">eliturkel@gmail.com</a>> wrote:<div><span class="gmail_quote"></span><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="border-left: 1px solid rgb(204, 204, 204); margin: 0pt 0pt 0pt 0.8ex; padding-left: 1ex;">
the 5th of iyar is the same day as the seventh day of Pesach<br>or the same as erev pesach. Hence the 5th of iyar can fall out on<br>friday,shabbat,monday or wednesday.<br>In the first three cases yom hazikaron/tom haazmaut is pushed off.
<br>Thus the chances of yom haazmaut falling on the 5th of iyar is about 25%<br></blockquote></div><br>Excuse me for a pedantic correction. It would be 25% if friday, shabbat, monday and wednesday were equally likely in the first place, but they aren't because of the dehiyot of rosh hashana. "Lo Ido Rosh" makes the 5th of Iyar on a wednesday when the molad of tishrei is on either friday or shabbat, so the total chance is 2 in 7, not 1 in 4,
i.e. about 28.5%. (The effects of Molad Zaken cancel out, and the other dehiyot aren't a factor here).<br>