[Avodah] rare pesach

[kennethgmiller at juno.com]

R' Saul Newman asked:
> it there are 3  different simanim out of 14 possible year
> combinations  that  sunday pesach can fall on [ 1 meubar, 2
> pshutim], why  is the frequency so rare?  what dchiah causes
> these combinations to be rare?

R' Simon Montagu answered:
> All other things being equal, you would expect Pesah to be
> on any day of the week one year in 7, and it's on Sunday
> about 1 year in 9 on average, so it's not really so rare,
> it just seems that way because other days are more common.

Perfect answer, except for the "1 in 9" part, which will vary wildly depending on which years one is looking at. Looking at the years 2001-09, the ratio is 1 in 3; for 2010-24 it is only 1 in 15; for 2001-49 it is the expected 1 in 7.

Akiva Miller
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